Showing posts with label Philanthropic newspaper. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Philanthropic newspaper. Show all posts

Friday, 14 November 2008

New York Times Company to be bailed out by private investors?

I've been blogging for some time on the very real possibility of the NYT Company taking themselves private as part of some sort of philanthropic bailout by civic minded members of the great and the good of New York. No pressure to make vast profits, worry about shareholders etc.

Interestingly, this tongue in cheek piece from Businessweek, like any satire, has more than a grain of truth behind it.

The money won't come from government, but it may come from a group of very rich, liberal investors.

I wonder if the Family are working the dinner parties and putting out feelers to see if anyone is willing to throw their hat into the ring?




Media Centric November 13, 2008, 5:00PM EST

A Bailout Plan For U.S. Newspapers
A modest proposal for a lobbying campaign to save America's battered dailies
By
Jon Fine


TO: Senior executives at U.S. newspaper companies
FROM: Tongue & Cheek Lobbying Innovations LLC
The post-Election Day landscape brings great change for America and its governing philosophy, and this is why we must move quickly to craft a federal bailout for the newspaper industry.
I know from some previous discussions that not all of you agree. Unlike with banks, the collapse of American newspapers does not endanger the world's financial system. Unlike car companies, the newspaper industry does not lose billions of dollars each month. No matter. We can position this as a proactive move to save the only industry prominently mentioned in the Bill of Rights. (Our message team likes that last bit. You'll hear it a lot.) This industry employs over 52,000 journalists, thousands of other workers, and it faces unprecedented challenges. It takes more than a quadrennial sales spike from a closely watched election to save newspapers. Also, the bailout money is there, and—ask any struggling retailer or chain of hair salons soon to claim that they, too, are banks—it won't be there forever.
An Obama Administration will likely show little love for the workaday press, as a simple holler out to your reporters that covered his campaign will confirm. (If you still employ campaign reporters, that is.) But Barack Obama is a civic-minded man. He will appoint civic-minded staffers. They may not love reporters, but they grew up with newspapers. They won't want them to go away, especially since we will paint a news paradigm without papers as being dominated by Fox News and bloggers banging on spittle-flecked laptops.
Decades ago, legislation passed to allow joint operating agreements between competitive local papers, in order to preserve diverse editorial voices. Our mission today will be cast as preserving educational voices.
Two potential Newspaper Rescue Acts:
Debt Relief/Subsidization. The U.S. assumes all outstanding debt at all newspaper companies. At midyear that was $14 billion for the publicly traded players (excluding News Corp., which only owns two U.S. newspapers, but more on them later), $12.5 billion for the Tribune Co., plus more for other private players. The U.S. may take equity stakes in all companies, should the government deem this wise. This plan also includes a onetime sum to offset current revenue shortfalls. Newspapers took in $45 billion from advertising in '07; let's assume ad declines this year and next will total $15 billion. Cost: Around $45 billion.
Industry Digitization. Think of the "license fee" British households pay to the BBC. Government will subsidize Amazon's (
AMZN) Kindle (or equivalent device) and mandate that each household purchase one for $50. (Households below the poverty line will get one free.) This plan also provides several billion dollars to develop new digital news products, retrofit or dispose of obsolete assets (like printing presses), and roughly maintain existing newsroom staffs. Government again has the option to secure passive equity stakes. We will stress this plan's "green" aspects. Cost: Approximately $55 billion.
To paraphrase incoming Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel, never let a crisis go to waste—it allows you to do big things. Tongue & Cheek can guide the lobbying push essential for our mutual success, but we will require the participation of industry leaders who can navigate Washington with finesse and charm. In other words: Sam Zell, please stay home and tend to Tribune. (By the way, Tongue & Cheek has cultivated News Corp. (
NWS) executives. Having Rupert Murdoch on board will defang those who howl about liberal media bias.)
Should our proposals fail, we can still shake loose much low-hanging fruit. For starters, a special—and substantial—tax credit for daily newspapers, given our "educational" rebranding. Consumers' subscriptions will win tax-deductible status as well. I'm less certain than some of you that lifting laws preventing newspapers from owning radio or TV stations in the same market will fatten bottom lines. But here, too, a persuasion campaign can reap benefits.
I recognize some may perceive all this as an admission of defeat. But let's feel a sense of opportunity, not shame. And always remember how your business differs from the other supplicants. No newspaper ever bankrupted a country or peddled a product as patently putrid as the Pontiac Aztek.
Fine is BusinessWeek's MediaCentric columnist and Fine On Media blogger .








Meanwhile, how are those stocks doing?

Er, not too good. As of about 20 mintutes ago, here's the story.


New York Times Co
(NYT:NYQ)
NYT on other Exchanges
7.49 USD Last
-0.47 -5.90% Change
687.4K Below Average Volume

Data as of November 14, 2008 13:27 exchange time. Market data is delayed by at least 20 minutes

That would be a 20% drop this week, with a low of $7.33 and a low of $7.44 this week. If there's ever a time to do this, it's now.

It's not a strategy for survival, it's not a business plan, even as a non-profit making foundation funded newspaper, but it would buy some much needed time for someone, please someone to come up with some ideas.

This ad recession is going to go into 2010, no doubt about it, and that means 2 years of agencies and clients finding cheaper and cheaper alternatives that work. I don't think there is a lender out there right now with that much patience or risk carefree.

People are talking about GM going bankcrupt. Well, wait till you see the Q4 earnings, then the 2009 Q1 and Q2 and need I go on......




READ AN ALTERNATIVE IHT DAILY NARRATIVE AT
A PLACE IN THE AUVERGNE




LOOKING FOR A CHRISTMAS BOOK GIFT TO BUY?
"Books about cosmopolitan urbanites discovering the joys of country life are two a penny, but this one is worth a second glance. Walthew's vivid description of the moral stress induced by his job as a high-flying executive with the International Herald Tribune newspaper is worth the cover price alone…. Highly recommended."
The Oxford Times



Amazon.co.uk



'I read
A Place in My Country with absolute unalloyed delight. A glorious book.'
Jeremy Irons (actor)

‘Ian Walthew was a newspaper executive with a career that took him round the world, who one day did a mad thing. He saw a for-sale sign on a cottage in the Cotswolds, bought it, resigned and moved in. For the first few weeks he just lay on the grass in a daze. Then he started talking to his neighbours and digging into the rich history of this beautiful part of England. Out of his inquiries grew this affecting and inspiring memoir.What sets it apart from others of its ilk is the author’s enviable immunity to cliché and his determination to love his homeland better than he used to.
His elegiac account of relearning how to be an Englishman should be required reading for anyone who claims to know or love this country. Financial Times

Amazon.com



For more reviews visit
ianwalthew.com









Thursday, 13 November 2008

NYT Company stock now at distressed price: $7.70. What next? Capitalism 2.0's first philanthropic newspaper?



It wasn't so long ago that I was writing that if NYT Company stock fell below $10, that we would be at a tipping point.

As of market close yesterday, NYT Company stock was at $7.70, just 2 cents higher than its lower ever price. I wonder how Mr. Santos and those private investors are feeling now, having seen the value of their investment nearly half in three months. (-43%)

About.com, which I critiqued some time before it was rumoured it would be sold, is no doubt proving to be a tougher sell than expected - basically the NYT Company owns a web site with lots of content but which the younger, more savvy, upscale web generation treat pretty much with disdain. Hard to shift to reduce that debt.

Boston Globe? Who wants to buy that?

And as for the IHT, there seems to be something in the argument that the NYT Company is in fact reducing the value of an asset it holds. They've already given up on www.iht.com with their plans to roll it into www.nytimes.com (hardly an asset value increase move).

My view is, that at these prices, the NYT Company family must be buying shares with a view to taking it private.

My long term prognosis now is leading me to think that unless the NYT Company can reveal a game changing idea or acquisition, the price will continue to be hammered, which leaves the family with the very attractive proposition of taking it private, perhaps with the assistance of some sort of management buyout and/or collection of very rich New York investors more interested in keeping 'their' newspaper alive, seeking modest dividends - or at least prepared to wait out a prolonged zero dividend period whilst debt is reduced.

On the subject of management or employee buyout, let's be honest: stock option packages at the moment aren't looking that thrilling and the job market for staff, B-side or edit, is hardly any better. So as part of this, everyone takes a 15-25% paycut. I can see lots of employees who would be more than happy with that in the current media employment market.
Even the likes of Kristof, Krugman and Dowd might be prepared to swallow it, given their attachment to the value of a free press and their liberal ideologies, and that goes for most of the newsroom.
As for the B-side, the job market is basically dead, so what else are they going to do. Some will go it alone into New Media, some editors too perhaps. But a lot love this institution.
Family says we won't be taking a dividend or a salary -Golden, Sulzberger - and you guys have got to take this as part of the new Sulzberger-Ochs Foundation NYT.
Subscribers may even be asked to put their hands in their pocket for some sort of stock/subscription deal or just a price increase. If you love us so much, pay more, because we're prepared to lose readers and hang on to wealthier ones because our profits are going to be coming crashing down anyway.

In other words, a private sector, philanthropic type bailout.

CSM may be going weekly and web only (and that's a non-profit organisation).

The NYT may become Capitalism 2.0's first philanthropic newspaper - a newspaper working as a genuine public service without all those nasty speculators and investors hassling the family. That gives them time to breathe, pay off the debt, and re-position, re-tool for a new future.

I'd say, if you love the NYT and want it to continue, and have spare cash and don't seek a return on it, start buying.

I'd also say there will be no money any time soon to market the IHT, which, with the end of http://www.iht.com/ makes the end of the IHT and the beginning of the International New York Times highly likely in 2010.

That's not to say that the INYT will become an international version of the NYT, nor that the content or even design (beyond the planned treading water re-design we will see next year) of the IHT will radically change.

Simply, this company can't afford to market two media brands, and one of them globally, in 2009/2010.

So it's fold into INYT - with possible cost reducing move from Paris - or sell brand to vanity publisher e.g an Emirate, based out of one of their media cities?

How much would the Sheiks love to be seen to own a primarily Jewish owned newspaper (in terms of family voting shares) but also be seen to be hands off, democratic media owners?

Frankly, in current market conditions who else is going to buy it? An Icelandic bank?

Dubai here we come, but we'll always have Paris.

There are alternative game changing ideas out there, but I'm sensing a degree of sang-froid cool or complete corporate inertia. This is disonsaurs standing in falling volcanic ash time. Move, adapt, change or die.



New York Times Co
(NYT:NYQ) NYT on other Exchanges
7.70 USD Last
-0.68 -8.11% Change
915.8K Below Average Volume

Data as of November 12, 2008 16:04 exchange time. Market data is delayed by at least 20 minutes.
Today's Open
8.27 USD
Previous Close
8.38 USD
Today's High
8.29 USD
Today's Low
7.68 USD
Today's Volume
915.8K
Avg Volume (10 day)
1.2M







READ AN ALTERNATIVE IHT DAILY NARRATIVE AT
A PLACE IN THE AUVERGNE



LOOKING FOR A CHRISTMAS BOOK GIFT TO BUY?
"Books about cosmopolitan urbanites discovering the joys of country life are two a penny, but this one is worth a second glance. Walthew's vivid description of the moral stress induced by his job as a high-flying executive with the International Herald Tribune newspaper is worth the cover price alone…. Highly recommended."
The Oxford Times





Amazon.co.uk


'I read
A Place in My Country with absolute unalloyed delight. A glorious book.'
Jeremy Irons (actor)


‘Ian Walthew was a newspaper executive with a career that took him round the world, who one day did a mad thing. He saw a for-sale sign on a cottage in the Cotswolds, bought it, resigned and moved in. For the first few weeks he just lay on the grass in a daze. Then he started talking to his neighbours and digging into the rich history of this beautiful part of England. Out of his inquiries grew this affecting and inspiring memoir.What sets it apart from others of its ilk is the author’s enviable immunity to cliché and his determination to love his homeland better than he used to.
Financial Times


Amazon.com

For more reviews visit ianwalthew.com